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wishvane

How big is Exo One: Prologue?

Estimated owners
≈ 18k–30k
from 744 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Exo One: Prologue out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Exo One: Prologue's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 423–2k
best case 171k (Exo One)
Games like Exo One: Prologue

The middle of these games

≈ 423–2k copies

≈ $754–$9k after Steam's cut

from ~17 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

1 of your 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Exo One at ≈ 131k–212k copies, ≈ $610k–$1.6M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 6 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2 to 2k.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Space (6 of 8) and Flight (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Exploration + Space, priced around $17. The breakout hits carry Physics + Walking Simulator + Relaxing; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Exo One
2021
Est. copies
≈ 131k–212k
310x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$610k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before the cut
$16.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericExploration
Earth Analog
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
6.6x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$15k–$41k after Steam's cut $28k–$63k before the cut
$19.99
112 reviews
Mixed
SpaceExploration
Tales of Cosmos
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$9k–$24k after Steam's cut $16k–$36k before the cut
$14.99
51 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureIndie
Jetscout: Mystery of the Valunians
2020
Est. copies
≈ 521–846
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$715–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before the cut
$4.99
21 reviews
Positive
stardust
2021
Est. copies
≈ 298–484
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$409–$1k after Steam's cut $744–$2k before the cut
$4.99
12 reviews
Positive
AtmosphericSurreal
Asteroid Five
2022
Est. copies
≈ 347–564
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$571–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before the cut
$5.99
14 reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureExploration
Silverwing
2022
Est. copies
≈ 298–484
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$409–$1k after Steam's cut $744–$2k before the cut
$4.99
12 reviews
Mostly Positive
Space SimAction
Flight Risk
2024
Est. copies
≈ 422–685
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$115–$309 after Steam's cut $209–$475 before the cut
$0.99
17 reviews
Positive
FlightPuzzle

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