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How many copies did Earth Analog sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$15k–$41k after Steam's cut $28k–$63k before the cut
from 112 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Earth Analog out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Earth Analog's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.7M–8.7M
best case 22.6M (No Man's Sky)
Games like Earth Analog

The middle of these games

≈ 5.7M–8.7M copies

≈ $54.5M–$134.3M after Steam's cut

from ~145k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: No Man's Sky at ≈ 17.2M–28.0M copies, ≈ $284.5M–$764.9M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Exploration (5 of 8) and Space (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Procedural Generation + Exploration, priced around $45. The breakout hits carry Procedural Generation + Dwarf + PvE; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$78.6M–$211.3M after Steam's cut $142.9M–$325.1M before the cut
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146k reviews
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SpaceSimulation
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Colony SimBase-Building
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≈ 9.4M–15.3M
2.6x vs typical
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No Man's Sky
2016
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≈ 17.2M–28.0M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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Action-AdventureSouls-like

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