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How many copies did Chess Knights: Shinobi sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before the cut
from 70 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Chess Knights: Shinobi out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Chess Knights: Shinobi's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 280k–1.3M
best case 1.5M (DDNet)
Games like Chess Knights: Shinobi

The middle of these games

≈ 280k–1.3M copies

≈ $1.3M–$9.7M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

6 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: DDNet at ≈ 1.2M–1.9M copies.

What it took to get here
The games that made it here had under 1k reviews in their first month.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Stealth (5 of 8) and Ninja (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 2D Platformer + Precision Platformer.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Samurai Chess
2021
Est. copies
≈ 992–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$543–$1k after Steam's cut $987–$2k before the cut
$1.99
40 reviews
Mostly Positive
ChessPuzzle
Mark of the Ninja: Remastered
2018
Est. copies
≈ 211k–342k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before the cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StealthNinja
DDNet
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
46k reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-OpFree to Play
Shadow Tactics: Aiko's Choice
2021
Est. copies
≈ 120k–195k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$659k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before the cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Real Time TacticsStrategy
Mark of the Ninja
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 394k–640k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Free
Free
16k reviews
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5D Chess With Multiverse Time Travel
2020
Est. copies
≈ 222k–361k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$733k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before the cut
$11.99
9k reviews
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ChessTime Travel
Shadow Tactics: Blades of the Shogun
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$17.6M–$47.2M after Steam's cut $31.9M–$72.7M before the cut
$39.99
38k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StealthStrategy
Chess Dungeons: Shubousha
2023
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$340–$918 after Steam's cut $619–$1k before the cut
$9.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
ChessCasual

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