How much revenue did Confessions make?

$978–$3k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Confessions sell?

Q: How many copies did Confessions sell?

1k to 2k copies, based on its 48 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1k–2k; $978–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before the cut; from 48 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Confessions out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Confessions's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 31k–33k

best case 312k (Aliya: Timelink)

Games like Confessions

The middle of these games

≈ 31k–33k copies

≈ $34k–$421k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

6 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Aliya: Timelink at ≈ 238k–387k copies, ≈ $196k–$526k after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 322 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 113 to 725.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Visual Novel (7 of 8) and Dating Sim (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Emotional + Cozy, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Cute + Text-Based; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: Only 2 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Kind Words (lo fi chill beats to write to) 2019	Est. copies ≈ 259k–420k 8.9x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $355k–$954k after Steam's cut $645k–$1.5M before the cut	$4.99	9k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	EmotionalRelaxing
Aliya: Timelink 2024	Est. copies ≈ 238k–387k 9.5x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $196k–$526k after Steam's cut $356k–$810k before the cut	$2.99	10k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGInteractive Fiction
夜永 Eternal Love 2020	Est. copies ≈ 25k–41k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $35k–$94k after Steam's cut $64k–$145k before the cut	$4.99	1k reviews Very Positive	CasualSimulation
Ignited in Cavern 2024	Est. copies ≈ 34k–55k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $19k–$50k after Steam's cut $34k–$77k before the cut	$1.99	1k reviews Very Positive	RPGVisual Novel
恋爱绮谭不存在的真相 2022	Est. copies ≈ 55k–89k 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $211k–$567k after Steam's cut $384k–$873k before the cut	$13.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Interactive FictionWord Game
Aonatsu Line 2022	Est. copies ≈ 25k–41k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $241k–$648k after Steam's cut $438k–$997k before the cut	$34.99	1k reviews Very Positive	CasualAdventure
Clover Day's Plus 2023	Est. copies ≈ 24k–39k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $228k–$613k after Steam's cut $415k–$944k before the cut	$34.99	956 reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelRomance
目盲/Blind 2022	Est. copies ≈ 23k–37k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $19k–$50k after Steam's cut $34k–$77k before the cut	$2.99	908 reviews Very Positive	Female ProtagonistVisual Novel