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How many copies did Red Dead Online sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
$9.5M–$25.4M after Steam's cut $17.2M–$39.1M before the cut
from 69k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Red Dead Online out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Red Dead Online's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 12.5M–24.9M
best case 34.4M (Red Dead Redemption 2)
Games like Red Dead Online

The middle of these games

≈ 12.5M–24.9M copies

≈ $85.1M–$282.0M after Steam's cut

from ~223k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

6 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Red Dead Redemption 2 at ≈ 26.2M–42.6M copies, ≈ $432.5M–$1162.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (7 of 8) and Western (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Story Rich, priced around $60.
The era
The games you compared span 2006 to 2025, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Depraved
2019
Est. copies
≈ 36k–59k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$198k–$533k after Steam's cut $360k–$819k before the cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Mixed
Kingdom Come: Deliverance
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.4M–$124.8M after Steam's cut $84.4M–$192.0M before the cut
$29.99
185k reviews
Very Positive
MedievalRPG
GUN™
2006
Est. copies
≈ 143k–232k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$785k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before the cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
WesternAction
Fallout: New Vegas
2010
Est. copies
≈ 16.5M–26.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$45.3M–$121.9M after Steam's cut $82.5M–$187.6M before the cut
$9.99
261k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
Red Dead Redemption 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 26.2M–42.6M
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$432.5M–$1162.8M after Steam's cut $786.3M–$1788.9M before the cut
$59.99
910k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldStory Rich
Unbridled: That Horse Game
2025
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$90k–$243k after Steam's cut $164k–$374k before the cut
$24.99
530 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessHorses
Mount & Blade: Warband
2010
Est. copies
≈ 10.9M–17.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$59.7M–$160.6M after Steam's cut $108.6M–$247.1M before the cut
$19.99
172k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MedievalRPG
Wild Indigo Ranch
2024
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$64k–$171k after Steam's cut $116k–$263k before the cut
$19.99
467 reviews
Mostly Positive
WesternBuilding

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