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How many copies did Tiny Island sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before the cut
from 42 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Tiny Island out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tiny Island's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9k–57k
best case 103k (Megaton Rainfall)
Games like Tiny Island

The middle of these games

≈ 9k–57k copies

≈ $121k–$442k after Steam's cut

from ~740 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

3 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Megaton Rainfall at ≈ 79k–128k copies, ≈ $346k–$930k after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 156 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 21 to 543.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on VR (6 of 8) and God Game (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Superhero + Destruction, priced around $16.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Megaton Rainfall
2017
Est. copies
≈ 79k–128k
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$346k–$930k after Steam's cut $629k–$1.4M before the cut
$15.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
SuperheroDestruction
Tiny Town VR
2017
Est. copies
≈ 43k–70k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$178k–$479k after Steam's cut $324k–$737k before the cut
$14.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationIndie
Rez Infinite
2017
Est. copies
≈ 44k–71k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$301k–$808k after Steam's cut $547k–$1.2M before the cut
$24.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
On-Rails ShooterFlight
Townsmen VR
2022
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$156k–$419k after Steam's cut $283k–$644k before the cut
$39.99
571 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationStrategy
The Book of Distance
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
188 reviews
Very Positive
Interactive FictionVR
Tethered
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$38k–$102k after Steam's cut $69k–$157k before the cut
$18.99
211 reviews
Very Positive
StrategyIndie
Deisim
2022
Est. copies
≈ 23k–37k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$93k–$250k after Steam's cut $169k–$384k before the cut
$14.99
909 reviews
Very Positive
God GameSandbox
Tentacular
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$14k–$37k after Steam's cut $25k–$57k before the cut
$19.99
101 reviews
Very Positive
CasualVR

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