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How many copies did Cozy Grove sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 211k–342k
$868k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before the cut
from 8k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Cozy Grove out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cozy Grove's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 444k–660k
best case 6.2M (DARK SOULS™: REMASTERED)
Games like Cozy Grove

The middle of these games

≈ 444k–660k copies

≈ $2.2M–$4.5M after Steam's cut

from ~17k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Story Rich (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: DARK SOULS™: REMASTERED at ≈ 4.7M–7.6M copies, ≈ $51.7M–$139.1M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 516 to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Story Rich (4 of 8) and Puzzle (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Souls-like + Dark Fantasy, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Souls-like + Dark Fantasy + Difficult; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy under 20k
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≈ 1.0M–1.6M
2.5x vs typical
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RelaxingCute
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$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before the cut
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ConversationPixel Graphics
DARK SOULS™: REMASTERED
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.7M–7.6M
9.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Souls-likeDark Fantasy
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≈ 506k–822k
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PuzzleAdventure
Donut County
2018
Est. copies
≈ 366k–595k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before the cut
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12k reviews
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CasualIndie
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2021
Est. copies
≈ 412k–669k
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The Test
2020
Est. copies
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SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
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$1.99
20k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureSimulation

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.