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How many copies did Hollow Witch sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 570–927
$782–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before the cut
from 23 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Hollow Witch out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hollow Witch's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 195–781
best case 5.8M (Celeste)
Games like Hollow Witch

The middle of these games

≈ 195–781 copies

≈ $242–$1k after Steam's cut

from ~22 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

2 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.4M–7.2M copies, ≈ $24.5M–$65.8M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
The games that made it here had under 18 reviews in their first month.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Precision Platformer (6 of 8) and Souls-like (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Platformer, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Pixel Graphics + Great Soundtrack + Indie; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2018 to 2025, and 3 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
6652x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.5M–$65.8M after Steam's cut $44.5M–$101.2M before the cut
$19.99
146k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
La-Mulana 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 33k–53k
49x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$226k–$607k after Steam's cut $410k–$933k before the cut
$24.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureMetroidvania
Splash Adventure: The Maze of Morla
2018
Est. copies
≈ 91–148
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$75–$202 after Steam's cut $136–$310 before the cut
$2.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
Top-Down ShooterDungeon Crawler
Neither Day nor Night
2020
Est. copies
≈ 620–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
25 reviews
Mixed
Goat's Tale Adventure
2024
Est. copies
≈ 546–887
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$299–$803 after Steam's cut $543–$1k before the cut
$1.99
22 reviews
Mostly Positive
Bunny Flush
2021
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$54–$146 after Steam's cut $99–$224 before the cut
$1.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
CasualAdventure
Pal Up!
2024
Est. copies
≈ 570–927
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$625–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before the cut
$3.99
23 reviews
Mostly Positive
Souls-likeFemale Protagonist
Pudding Frog
2025
Est. copies
≈ 198–322
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$326–$878 after Steam's cut $593–$1k before the cut
$5.99
8 reviews
8 user reviews

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