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How many copies did Deck Adventurers - Origins sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 794–1k
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before the cut
from 32 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Deck Adventurers - Origins out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Deck Adventurers - Origins's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 24k–80k
best case 791k (Marvel's Midnight Suns)
Games like Deck Adventurers - Origins

The middle of these games

≈ 24k–80k copies

≈ $181k–$722k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

5 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Marvel's Midnight Suns at ≈ 603k–980k copies, ≈ $9.9M–$26.7M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 523 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 178 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Card Battler (6 of 8) and Tactical RPG (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Superhero + Turn-Based Tactics, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Superhero + Turn-Based Combat + Character Customization; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
Only 1 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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