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How big is Sixth Extinction?

Estimated owners
≈ 446–725
from 18 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Sixth Extinction out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sixth Extinction's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 570k–1.2M
best case 2.4M (What Remains of Edith Finch)
Games like Sixth Extinction

The middle of these games

≈ 570k–1.2M copies

≈ $3.8M–$6.5M after Steam's cut

from ~22k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: What Remains of Edith Finch at ≈ 1.8M–2.9M copies, ≈ $10.0M–$26.8M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 516 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on First-Person (5 of 8) and Puzzle (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Walking Simulator, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Superliminal
2020
Est. copies
≈ 843k–1.4M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.5M after Steam's cut $8.4M–$19.2M before the cut
$19.99
34k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleFirst-Person
Hue
2016
Est. copies
≈ 472k–767k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.0M before the cut
$14.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
IndiePuzzle
What Remains of Edith Finch
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.0M–$26.8M after Steam's cut $18.1M–$41.2M before the cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichAtmospheric
Bugsnax
2022
Est. copies
≈ 234k–381k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.7M before the cut
$24.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Creature CollectorAdventure
The Last Campfire
2021
Est. copies
≈ 506k–822k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.6M after Steam's cut $3.8M–$8.6M before the cut
$14.99
20k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleAdventure
The Beginner's Guide
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$13.0M before the cut
$9.99
23k reviews
Very Positive
There Is No Game: Wrong Dimension
2020
Est. copies
≈ 644k–1.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.5M before the cut
$12.99
26k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
IndieAdventure
Viewfinder
2023
Est. copies
≈ 322k–523k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.1M before the cut
$24.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPuzzle

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