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How many copies did Alexey's Winter: Night Adventure sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 744–1k
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before the cut
from 30 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Alexey's Winter: Night Adventure out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Alexey's Winter: Night Adventure's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 183k–621k
best case 1.6M (TCG Card Shop Simulator)
Games like Alexey's Winter: Night Adventure

The middle of these games

≈ 183k–621k copies

≈ $896k–$2.8M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

7 of your 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Collectathon (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: TCG Card Shop Simulator at ≈ 1.2M–2.0M copies, ≈ $6.7M–$18.1M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 132 to 13k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Collectathon (4 of 8) and Life Sim (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Management, priced around $20.
The era
Only 2 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.