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How many copies did 虫鸣 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$20k before the cut
from 120 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left 虫鸣 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 虫鸣's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–4.7M
best case 27.3M (Phasmophobia)
Games like 虫鸣

The middle of these games

≈ 1.1M–4.7M copies

≈ $4.3M–$17.3M after Steam's cut

from ~44k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Phasmophobia at ≈ 20.8M–33.8M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$307.1M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 11k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 4k to 40k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Horror (7 of 8) and First-Person (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Psychological Horror, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Phasmophobia
2020
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.8M
19x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$307.1M after Steam's cut $207.7M–$472.5M before the cut
$19.99
838k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Poppy Playtime
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
142k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorFree to Play
Firework
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.5M before the cut
$9.99
44k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorIndie
Pacify
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before the cut
$4.99
43k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Demonologist
2023
Est. copies
≈ 598k–971k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before the cut
$19.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
Alan Wake
2012
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.4M after Steam's cut $28.0M–$63.7M before the cut
$14.99
59k reviews
Very Positive
ActionHorror
Oxenfree
2016
Est. copies
≈ 504k–819k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before the cut
$9.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichChoices Matter
Mouthwashing
2024
Est. copies
≈ 952k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.2M–$14.1M before the cut
$12.99
38k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive

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