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How many copies did Nightmare: The Lunatic sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–11k
$31k–$84k after Steam's cut $57k–$129k before the cut
from 270 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Nightmare: The Lunatic out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nightmare: The Lunatic's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–4.8M
best case 10.0M (Hades)
Games like Nightmare: The Lunatic

The middle of these games

≈ 1.6M–4.8M copies

≈ $10.5M–$52.3M after Steam's cut

from ~53k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Hades at ≈ 7.6M–12.4M copies, ≈ $52.5M–$141.0M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 29k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2k to 86k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Action Roguelike (6 of 8) and Rogue-like (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Rogue-lite, priced around $25.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2025, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hades
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7.6M–12.4M
5.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$52.5M–$141.0M after Steam's cut $95.4M–$217.0M before the cut
$24.99
308k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Skul: The Hero Slayer
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$21.1M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.5M before the cut
$19.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
IndieAction
Sifu
2023
Est. copies
≈ 708k–1.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$20.9M after Steam's cut $14.2M–$32.2M before the cut
$39.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
ActionMartial Arts
Hades II
2025
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.1M–$67.4M after Steam's cut $45.6M–$103.7M before the cut
$29.99
123k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionRogue-like
Hero Siege
2014
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.8M–$15.7M after Steam's cut $10.6M–$24.1M before the cut
$7.99
47k reviews
Mixed
Action RPGPixel Graphics
Dead Cells
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.0M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$38.2M–$102.8M after Steam's cut $69.5M–$158.2M before the cut
$24.99
183k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureAction Roguelike
Lost Castle / 失落城堡
2016
Est. copies
≈ 996k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.3M before the cut
$9.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
4 Player LocalAction Roguelike
Crypt of the NecroDancer
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.0M before the cut
$14.99
26k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RhythmFemale Protagonist

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