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How many copies did Shadow Watcher sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 546–887
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before the cut
from 22 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Shadow Watcher out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shadow Watcher's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 571k–689k
best case 6.6M (STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™)
Games like Shadow Watcher

The middle of these games

≈ 571k–689k copies

≈ $7.0M–$10.1M after Steam's cut

from ~18k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ at ≈ 5.0M–8.2M copies, ≈ $55.4M–$149.0M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2k to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Souls-like (8 of 8) and Action-Adventure (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Souls-like, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Dark Fantasy; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DARK SOULS™: REMASTERED
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.7M–7.6M
8.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$51.7M–$139.1M after Steam's cut $94.0M–$213.9M before the cut
$39.99
155k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy
DARK SOULS™: Prepare To Die™ Edition
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
79k reviews
Very Positive
TUNIC
2022
Est. copies
≈ 457k–743k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.1M after Steam's cut $6.9M–$15.6M before the cut
$29.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationPuzzle
Tails of Iron
2021
Est. copies
≈ 372k–604k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.6M before the cut
$24.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
Action RPGSouls-like
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.2M
10.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$55.4M–$149.0M after Steam's cut $100.7M–$229.2M before the cut
$39.99
175k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureSouls-like
Blasphemous 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 525k–853k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut $10.0M–$22.7M before the cut
$37.99
21k reviews
Very Positive
CombatFantasy
Kena: Bridge of Spirits
2022
Est. copies
≈ 435k–707k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.8M before the cut
$39.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
Darksiders III
2018
Est. copies
≈ 529k–859k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.8M–$15.6M after Steam's cut $10.6M–$24.1M before the cut
$39.99
17k reviews
Mostly Positive
Hack and SlashAction

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