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How many copies did WAVECADE sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 893–1k
$2k–$7k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before the cut
from 36 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left WAVECADE out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including WAVECADE's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 417k–1.6M
best case 2.2M (SUPERHOT)
Games like WAVECADE

The middle of these games

≈ 417k–1.6M copies

≈ $3.9M–$10.8M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: SUPERHOT at ≈ 1.7M–2.8M copies, ≈ $11.6M–$31.3M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Shooter (6 of 8) and FPS (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Bullet Time, priced around $25.
The era
The games you compared span 2010 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Quantum Break
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$14.1M–$38.0M after Steam's cut $25.7M–$58.5M before the cut
$39.99
31k reviews
Very Positive
ActionStory Rich
Heat Signature
2017
Est. copies
≈ 255k–415k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before the cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
SpaceStealth
F.E.A.R.
2010
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.2M–$14.0M before the cut
$9.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
Trepang2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 480k–780k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.0M–$10.6M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.4M before the cut
$29.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
ShooterSingleplayer
Singularity™
2010
Est. copies
≈ 374k–608k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.3M after Steam's cut $5.6M–$12.8M before the cut
$29.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
FPSAction
SUPERHOT
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.6M–$31.3M after Steam's cut $21.2M–$48.1M before the cut
$24.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
ActionFPS
Vanquish
2017
Est. copies
≈ 274k–446k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before the cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
ActionThird-Person Shooter
SUPERHOT VR
2017
Est. copies
≈ 332k–540k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.5M before the cut
$24.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
VRShooter

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