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How many copies did New Citizen - Alpha sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 446–725
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before the cut
from 18 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left New Citizen - Alpha out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including New Citizen - Alpha's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 716–13k
best case 183k (江湖十一)
Games like New Citizen - Alpha

The middle of these games

≈ 716–13k copies

≈ $3k–$56k after Steam's cut

from ~75 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

1 of your 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: 江湖十一 at ≈ 139k–226k copies, ≈ $689k–$1.9M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 27 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 4 to 5k.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Exploration (6 of 8) and Immersive Sim (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Story Rich, priced around $18.
The era
4 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this niche is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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AdventureSimulation

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