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How many copies did Chernobylite 2: Exclusion Zone sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 19k–30k
$206k–$554k after Steam's cut $375k–$853k before the cut
from 756 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Chernobylite 2: Exclusion Zone out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Chernobylite 2: Exclusion Zone's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 767k–1.3M
best case 4.5M (S.T.A.L.K.E.R. 2: Heart of Chornobyl)
Games like Chernobylite 2: Exclusion Zone

The middle of these games

≈ 767k–1.3M copies

≈ $10.8M–$11.2M after Steam's cut

from ~21k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: S.T.A.L.K.E.R. 2: Heart of Chornobyl at ≈ 3.4M–5.5M copies, ≈ $56.2M–$151.0M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 5k to 88k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (5 of 8) and Story Rich (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + Multiplayer + MMORPG; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2008 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

STAR WARS™ Knights of the Old Republic™
2009
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.5M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$5.9M–$15.8M after Steam's cut $10.7M–$24.4M before the cut
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2008
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2020
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S.T.A.L.K.E.R. 2: Heart of Chornobyl
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
6.5x vs typical
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$59.99
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$5.8M–$15.7M after Steam's cut $10.6M–$24.2M before the cut
$39.99
18k reviews
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