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How many copies did Dawn of Kagura: Maika's Story - The Dragon's Wrath sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 496–806
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before the cut
from 20 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Dawn of Kagura: Maika's Story - The Dragon's Wrath out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dawn of Kagura: Maika's Story - The Dragon's Wrath's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7k–27k
best case 70k (Shattered Pixel Dungeon)
Games like Dawn of Kagura: Maika's Story - The Dragon's Wrath

The middle of these games

≈ 7k–27k copies

≈ $36k–$250k after Steam's cut

from ~267 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

2 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Shattered Pixel Dungeon at ≈ 54k–87k copies, ≈ $147k–$395k after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 140 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 86 to 316.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Dungeon Crawler (7 of 8) and Rogue-like (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Traditional Roguelike + Dungeon Crawler, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2024, and 3 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Tangledeep
2018
Est. copies
≈ 45k–73k
5.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$186k–$500k after Steam's cut $338k–$769k before the cut
$14.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Traditional RoguelikeTurn-Based Tactics
Obsidian Prince
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$15k–$39k after Steam's cut $27k–$60k before the cut
$14.99
143 reviews
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Roguelike DeckbuilderTurn-Based Strategy
Sorcery Saga: Curse of the Great Curry God
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$21k–$58k after Steam's cut $39k–$88k before the cut
$19.99
128 reviews
Mixed
Mystery DungeonJRPG
Shiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Island
2024
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$132k–$355k after Steam's cut $240k–$546k before the cut
$39.99
484 reviews
Very Positive
Shattered Pixel Dungeon
2022
Est. copies
≈ 54k–87k
8.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$147k–$395k after Steam's cut $267k–$608k before the cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Traditional RoguelikeDungeon Crawler
3DRPG
2016
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≈ 11k–18k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before the cut
$1.99
266 reviews
Mixed
RPGProcedural Generation
Dungeon Dreams 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$31k–$83k after Steam's cut $56k–$127k before the cut
$19.99
226 reviews
Very Positive
RPGParty-Based RPG
The Land Beneath Us
2024
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$27k–$73k after Steam's cut $50k–$113k before the cut
$14.99
267 reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeTurn-Based Tactics

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