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How many copies did Shiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Island sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 12k–20k
$132k–$355k after Steam's cut $240k–$546k before the cut
from 484 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Shiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Island out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Island's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 73k–118k
best case 1.7M (Crypt of the NecroDancer)
Games like Shiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Island

The middle of these games

≈ 73k–118k copies

≈ $411k–$674k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Crypt of the NecroDancer at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 316 to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Rogue-like (5 of 8) and Dungeon Crawler (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rogue-like, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Pixel Graphics + Rogue-like; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2024, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Crypt of the NecroDancer
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
9.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.0M before the cut
$14.99
26k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RhythmFemale Protagonist
One Way Heroics
2014
Est. copies
≈ 232k–377k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$223k–$599k after Steam's cut $405k–$921k before the cut
$3.49
4k reviews
Very Positive
Mystery DungeonSide Scroller
Elin
2024
Est. copies
≈ 227k–369k
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before the cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessCharacter Customization
Touhou Genso Wanderer -Reloaded-
2018
Est. copies
≈ 56k–91k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$538k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $978k–$2.2M before the cut
$34.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
RPGAdventure
Boyfriend Dungeon
2021
Est. copies
≈ 66k–108k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$366k–$983k after Steam's cut $665k–$1.5M before the cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
ComedyStory Rich
Dwarven Realms
2024
Est. copies
≈ 90k–146k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$248k–$665k after Steam's cut $450k–$1.0M before the cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Action RPGHack and Slash
Shattered Pixel Dungeon
2022
Est. copies
≈ 54k–87k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$147k–$395k after Steam's cut $267k–$608k before the cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Traditional RoguelikeDungeon Crawler
Backpack Hero
2023
Est. copies
≈ 211k–342k
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before the cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Replay ValueTurn-Based

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