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How many copies did Styx: Master of Shadows sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 655k–1.1M
$3.6M–$9.7M after Steam's cut $6.5M–$14.9M before the cut
from 12k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Styx: Master of Shadows out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Styx: Master of Shadows's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.2M–3.7M
best case 4.4M (Metro Exodus)
Games like Styx: Master of Shadows

The middle of these games

≈ 2.2M–3.7M copies

≈ $31.9M–$58.7M after Steam's cut

from ~80k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Metro Exodus at ≈ 3.4M–5.5M copies, ≈ $27.7M–$74.4M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 28k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 14k to 32k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (6 of 8) and Story Rich (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Post-apocalyptic + FPS, priced around $30.
The era
The games you compared span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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≈ 1.6M–2.6M
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CrimeOpen World
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Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$18.7M–$50.3M after Steam's cut $34.0M–$77.3M before the cut
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FPSAction
Metro Exodus
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$27.7M–$74.4M after Steam's cut $50.3M–$114.5M before the cut
$29.99
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Very Positive
Post-apocalypticFPS
A Plague Tale: Innocence
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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The Evil Within 2
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Middle-earth™: Shadow of War™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$55.1M–$148.2M after Steam's cut $100.2M–$228.0M before the cut
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Shadow of the Tomb Raider: Definitive Edition
2018
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≈ 2.7M–4.3M
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Est. revenue
$29.4M–$79.0M after Steam's cut $53.4M–$121.5M before the cut
$39.99
88k reviews
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