How much revenue did GUARDS! make?

$34k–$91k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did GUARDS! sell?

Q: How many copies did GUARDS! sell?

12k to 20k copies, based on its 497 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 12k–20k; $34k–$91k after Steam's cut $62k–$140k before the cut; from 497 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left GUARDS! out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including GUARDS!'s, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.0M–3.2M

best case 10.6M (SCP: Secret Laboratory)

Games like GUARDS!

The middle of these games

≈ 1.0M–3.2M copies

≈ $7.8M–$23.6M after Steam's cut

from ~26k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: SCP: Secret Laboratory at ≈ 8.0M–13.1M copies.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Co-op (5 of 8) and Fantasy (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Horror + First-Person.
The era: The games you compared span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
FINAL FANTASY XV WINDOWS EDITION 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–2.9M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $17.0M–$45.6M after Steam's cut $30.8M–$70.1M before the cut	$34.99	58k reviews Very Positive	RPGOpen World
Warhammer: Vermintide 2 2018	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.3M 5.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $36.9M–$99.3M after Steam's cut $67.2M–$152.8M before the cut	$29.99	147k reviews Very Positive	Co-opDark Fantasy
Barony 2015	Est. copies ≈ 872k–1.4M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.8M before the cut	$19.99	18k reviews Very Positive	Dungeon CrawlerAction Roguelike
Warhammer: End Times - Vermintide 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.0M–1.7M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.6M–$23.2M after Steam's cut $15.7M–$35.7M before the cut	$29.99	21k reviews Mostly Positive	ActionOnline Co-Op
Creativerse 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.7M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.3M–$19.5M after Steam's cut $13.2M–$30.0M before the cut	$24.99	31k reviews Mostly Positive	ExplorationSandbox
We Were Here Forever 2022	Est. copies ≈ 466k–758k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.5M before the cut	$17.99	19k reviews Very Positive	Escape RoomOnline Co-Op
SCP: Secret Laboratory 2017	Est. copies ≈ 8.0M–13.1M 9.0x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	234k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayMultiplayer
Nightingale 2024	Est. copies ≈ 447k–727k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before the cut	$29.99	18k reviews Mixed	Early AccessOpen World Survival Craft