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How many copies did Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7.3M–11.9M
$101.0M–$271.6M after Steam's cut $183.7M–$417.9M before the cut
from 296k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.1M–6.8M
best case 14.3M (Mount & Blade: Warband)
Games like Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord

The middle of these games

≈ 3.1M–6.8M copies

≈ $31.1M–$105.9M after Steam's cut

from ~95k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Medieval (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Mount & Blade: Warband at ≈ 10.9M–17.7M copies, ≈ $59.7M–$160.6M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 31k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 19k to 44k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Medieval (4 of 8) and Open World (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Medieval + Open World, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Mount & Blade: Warband
2010
Est. copies
≈ 10.9M–17.7M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$59.7M–$160.6M after Steam's cut $108.6M–$247.1M before the cut
$19.99
172k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MedievalRPG
Age of Empires IV: Anniversary Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$26.0M–$69.9M after Steam's cut $47.2M–$107.5M before the cut
$39.99
95k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS
Manor Lords
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.8M–$66.6M after Steam's cut $45.0M–$102.4M before the cut
$39.99
91k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Besiege
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.6M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.5M before the cut
$14.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationSandbox
Middle-earth™: Shadow of War™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$55.1M–$148.2M after Steam's cut $100.2M–$228.0M before the cut
$49.99
117k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Black Desert
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$23.9M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.8M before the cut
$9.99
94k reviews
Mostly Positive
MMORPGMassively Multiplayer
Albion Online
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
93k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayMMORPG
Europa Universalis IV
2013
Est. copies
≈ 8.7M–14.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$119.2M–$320.5M after Steam's cut $216.8M–$493.1M before the cut
$49.99
137k reviews
Very Positive
Grand StrategyStrategy

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