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How many copies did AVOID sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 918–1k
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$10k before the cut
from 37 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left AVOID out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including AVOID's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–15k
best case 65k (FOTONICA)
Games like AVOID

The middle of these games

≈ 2k–15k copies

≈ $1k–$58k after Steam's cut

from ~102 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

None of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: FOTONICA at ≈ 49k–80k copies, ≈ $203k–$547k after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 16 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 8 to 257.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Arcade (6 of 8) and Runner (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with First-Person + Abstract, priced around $15.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

NERVE
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before the cut
$9.99
51 reviews
Very Positive
ArcadeRunner
The Deletion
2015
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before the cut
$1.99
228 reviews
Mostly Positive
Precision PlatformerSide Scroller
Neodash
2022
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
5.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$57k–$152k after Steam's cut $103k–$234k before the cut
$15.99
519 reviews
Very Positive
RacingAction
Tiltagon
2016
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
152 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualIndie
FOTONICA
2014
Est. copies
≈ 49k–80k
8.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$203k–$547k after Steam's cut $370k–$841k before the cut
$14.99
881 reviews
Very Positive
IndieAction
GoBlock's Impossible Medley
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$487–$1k after Steam's cut $886–$2k before the cut
$0.99
52 reviews
Very Positive
CasualIndie
Jumping Knight
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$304–$817 after Steam's cut $552–$1k before the cut
$0.99
45 reviews
Positive
ActionAdventure
Kursor
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$651–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before the cut
$1.99
48 reviews
Positive
CasualMinimalist

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