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wishvane

How many copies did Dust Courier sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 174–282
$143–$384 after Steam's cut $260–$590 before the cut
from 7 reviews (7 user reviews)
Thin evidence: 7 reviews. That range swings on one or two people, so read it as a hint, not a measurement.

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Dust Courier out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dust Courier's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 450k–3.0M
best case 5.5M (Frostpunk)
Games like Dust Courier

The middle of these games

≈ 450k–3.0M copies

≈ $1.1M–$13.4M after Steam's cut

from ~19k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

7 of your 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Dark Humor (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Frostpunk at ≈ 4.2M–6.8M copies, ≈ $34.4M–$92.4M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Dark Humor (3 of 8) and Exploration (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with City Builder + Survival, priced around $30.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2019. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Graveyard Keeper
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.2M–$24.7M after Steam's cut $16.7M–$38.1M before the cut
$19.99
55k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsCrafting
Fallout Shelter
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.6M
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
83k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayBase-Building
60 Seconds! Reatomized
2019
Est. copies
≈ 561k–912k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before the cut
$9.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
2DChoose Your Own Adventure
60 Seconds!
2015
Est. copies
≈ 570k–927k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.8M before the cut
$8.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based TacticsExploration
60 Parsecs!
2018
Est. copies
≈ 124k–202k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$342k–$919k after Steam's cut $621k–$1.4M before the cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based StrategyText-Based
Frostpunk
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.2M–6.8M
7.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$34.4M–$92.4M after Steam's cut $62.5M–$142.2M before the cut
$29.99
137k reviews
Very Positive
First Day
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
135 reviews
Mixed
IndieSurvival
Despotism 3k
2018
Est. copies
≈ 117k–190k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$256k–$689k after Steam's cut $466k–$1.1M before the cut
$7.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyIndie

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