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How many copies did MoonWhite sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–11k
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before the cut
from 267 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left MoonWhite out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including MoonWhite's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 196–448
best case 66k (First Cut: Samurai Duel)
Games like MoonWhite

The middle of these games

≈ 196–448 copies

≈ $188–$974 after Steam's cut

from ~8 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

1 of your 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: First Cut: Samurai Duel at ≈ 50k–82k copies, ≈ $124k–$334k after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
The games that made it here had under 531 reviews in their first month.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on 2D Fighter (6 of 8) and Martial Arts (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 2D Fighter + Arcade, priced around $9. The breakout hits carry Arcade + Swordplay + Side Scroller; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
Only 3 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

First Cut: Samurai Duel
2024
Est. copies
≈ 50k–82k
253x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$124k–$334k after Steam's cut $226k–$514k before the cut
$8.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Side ScrollerHack and Slash
Sclash
2023
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
74x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$36k–$97k after Steam's cut $66k–$150k before the cut
$8.99
591 reviews
Very Positive
2D FighterHand-drawn
Swordian Hero
2020
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$272–$735 after Steam's cut $495–$1k before the cut
$7.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
Action RoguelikeExploration
Freyr's Love
2021
Est. copies
≈ 248–403
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$68–$181 after Steam's cut $123–$279 before the cut
$0.99
10 reviews
Positive
Pixel GraphicsMythology
Castle Of Collapse
2021
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$81–$219 after Steam's cut $148–$337 before the cut
$1.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
Precision Platformer2D Platformer
Stealth Blade
2023
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$163–$439 after Steam's cut $297–$676 before the cut
$3.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
NinjaStealth
Shadow Prisoner
2024
Est. copies
≈ 794–1k
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before the cut
$13.99
32 reviews
Positive
Action2D Fighter
SLOWLY FIGHTER
2025
Est. copies
≈ 372–605
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$613–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before the cut
$5.99
15 reviews
Positive
2D Fighter2.5D

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