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wishvane

How many copies did Baisu sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–12k
$19k–$52k after Steam's cut $35k–$81k before the cut
from 286 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Baisu out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Baisu's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8.8M–17.1M
best case 98.8M (Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege)
Games like Baisu

The middle of these games

≈ 8.8M–17.1M copies

≈ $50.8M–$196.9M after Steam's cut

from ~305k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is FPS (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege at ≈ 75.3M–122.4M copies.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 68k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 35k to 143k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on FPS (3 of 8) and Horror (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Tactical.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

House Flipper
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SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Resident Evil 4
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Cities: Skylines
2015
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≈ 14.2M–23.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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$117.4M–$315.8M after Steam's cut $213.5M–$485.8M before the cut
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Lethal Company
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Est. copies
≈ 12.7M–20.6M
1.7x vs typical
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Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
2015
Est. copies
≈ 75.3M–122.4M
5.1x vs typical
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Free
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FPSPvP
World of Tanks Blitz
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≈ 6.4M–10.4M
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TanksFree to Play
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2023
Est. copies
≈ 8.5M–13.9M
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TacticalRealistic
People Playground
2019
Est. copies
≈ 9.1M–14.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$25.1M–$67.5M after Steam's cut $45.7M–$103.9M before the cut
$9.99
317k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxGore

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