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How many copies did Dog Brew sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 40k–65k
$39k–$104k after Steam's cut $70k–$160k before the cut
from 2k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Dog Brew out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dog Brew's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–2.3M
best case 56.5M (Stardew Valley)
Games like Dog Brew

The middle of these games

≈ 1.3M–2.3M copies

≈ $12.0M–$30.0M after Steam's cut

from ~44k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Stardew Valley at ≈ 43.0M–69.9M copies, ≈ $177.4M–$476.9M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 19k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 3k to 44k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Simulation (6 of 8) and Management (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Farming Sim + Life Sim, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + Agriculture + Life Sim; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Against the Storm
2023
Est. copies
≈ 926k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.6M–$20.5M after Steam's cut $13.9M–$31.6M before the cut
$29.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Stardew Valley
2016
Est. copies
≈ 43.0M–69.9M
23x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$177.4M–$476.9M after Steam's cut $322.5M–$733.6M before the cut
$14.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Farming SimPixel Graphics
Touhou Mystia's Izakaya
2021
Est. copies
≈ 810k–1.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before the cut
$5.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsCasual
Manor Lords
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.8M–$66.6M after Steam's cut $45.0M–$102.4M before the cut
$39.99
91k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Forager
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.0M–$18.7M after Steam's cut $12.7M–$28.8M before the cut
$19.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Potion Craft: Alchemist Simulator
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.3M after Steam's cut $11.0M–$25.1M before the cut
$19.99
45k reviews
Very Positive
CraftingSingleplayer
My Time at Portia
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.5M–$28.3M after Steam's cut $19.1M–$43.5M before the cut
$29.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
Life SimRPG
DAVE THE DIVER
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.0M–$59.2M after Steam's cut $40.0M–$91.0M before the cut
$19.99
161k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsCasual

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