How much revenue did Red Thread make?

$272–$732 after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Red Thread sell?

Q: How many copies did Red Thread sell?

99 to 161 copies, based on its 4 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 99–161; $272–$732 after Steam's cut $495–$1k before the cut; from 4 reviews (4 user reviews); Thin evidence: 4 reviews. That range swings on one or two people, so read it as a hint, not a measurement.

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Red Thread out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Red Thread's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–3k

best case 73k (The Red Lantern)

Games like Red Thread

The middle of these games

≈ 1k–3k copies

≈ $6k–$8k after Steam's cut

from ~59 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

2 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Your picks lean toward this genre's biggest survivors; the typical figure reads from its ordinary successes.

Best case: The Red Lantern at ≈ 55k–90k copies, ≈ $381k–$1.0M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 33 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 17 to 529.

Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Choose Your Own Adventure (8 of 8) and Rogue-lite (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Choose Your Own Adventure, priced around $19.
The era: Only 2 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Red Lantern 2021	Est. copies ≈ 55k–90k 38x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $381k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $693k–$1.6M before the cut	$24.99	2k reviews Very Positive	ExplorationDog
Fateweaver: Smash or Pass 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before the cut	$2.99	80 reviews Very Positive	SimulationChoices Matter
Fabled Lands 2022	Est. copies ≈ 13k–22k 9.2x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $70k–$187k after Steam's cut $126k–$288k before the cut	$18.99	537 reviews Very Positive	CRPGOpen World
General Horse and the Package of Doom 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before the cut	$9.99	77 reviews Very Positive	ComedyChoose Your Own Adventure
Apollyon: River of Life 2023	Est. copies ≈ 992–2k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$17k before the cut	$14.99	40 reviews Positive	Choose Your Own AdventureCRPG
Lost:Antinomy 2024	Est. copies ≈ 27k–43k 18x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $22k–$59k after Steam's cut $40k–$91k before the cut	$2.99	1k reviews Very Positive	AdventureSimulation
Astronaut: The Best 2023	Est. copies ≈ 843–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before the cut	$14.99	34 reviews Positive	Interactive FictionStory Rich
Heading Out 2024	Est. copies ≈ 17k–28k 12x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $96k–$257k after Steam's cut $174k–$395k before the cut	$19.99	701 reviews Mostly Positive	Visual NovelStylized