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How big is The Midnight Bus?

Estimated owners
≈ 2k–4k
from 90 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Midnight Bus out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Midnight Bus's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.4M–9.7M
best case 50.8M (Dead by Daylight)
Games like The Midnight Bus

The middle of these games

≈ 4.4M–9.7M copies

≈ $35.8M–$84.4M after Steam's cut

from ~138k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Dead by Daylight at ≈ 38.7M–62.9M copies, ≈ $212.7M–$571.8M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 3k to 68k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Horror (8 of 8) and Survival Horror (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Survival Horror, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Team-Based + Online Co-Op + Co-op; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dead by Daylight
2016
Est. copies
≈ 38.7M–62.9M
6.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$212.7M–$571.8M after Steam's cut $386.7M–$879.7M before the cut
$19.99
930k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
SCP: Secret Laboratory
2017
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–13.1M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
234k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
Resident Evil 7 Biohazard
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.3M–7.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$23.9M–$64.1M after Steam's cut $43.4M–$98.7M before the cut
$19.99
126k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DEVOUR
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.0M–$16.1M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.8M before the cut
$9.99
88k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Deceit
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
92k reviews
Mostly Positive
PvPMultiplayer
Outlast
2013
Est. copies
≈ 8.7M–14.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$36.0M–$96.9M after Steam's cut $65.5M–$149.1M before the cut
$14.99
138k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorFirst-Person
Resident Evil 4
2023
Est. copies
≈ 6.8M–11.1M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$74.9M–$201.3M after Steam's cut $136.1M–$309.7M before the cut
$39.99
275k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorAction
Poppy Playtime
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
142k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorFree to Play

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