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How many copies did BLACKSHARD sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 11k–18k
$46k–$124k after Steam's cut $84k–$191k before the cut
from 451 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left BLACKSHARD out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including BLACKSHARD's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 409k–1.7M
best case 2.4M (What Remains of Edith Finch)
Games like BLACKSHARD

The middle of these games

≈ 409k–1.7M copies

≈ $4.5M–$13.1M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: What Remains of Edith Finch at ≈ 1.8M–2.9M copies, ≈ $10.0M–$26.8M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2k to 11k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Walking Simulator (6 of 8) and Exploration (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Walking Simulator, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Stanley Parable
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.7M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$11.9M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.3M before the cut
$14.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
ComedyNarration
What Remains of Edith Finch
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.0M–$26.8M after Steam's cut $18.1M–$41.2M before the cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichAtmospheric
INDIKA
2024
Est. copies
≈ 229k–372k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.5M before the cut
$24.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
SurrealPuzzle
The Stanley Parable: Ultra Deluxe
2022
Est. copies
≈ 893k–1.5M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.5M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.4M before the cut
$24.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
Multiple EndingsComedy
Amnesia: A Machine for Pigs
2013
Est. copies
≈ 765k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.3M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.4M before the cut
$19.99
12k reviews
Mixed
The Invincible
2023
Est. copies
≈ 327k–531k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.2M before the cut
$29.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureRobots
Gone Home
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.9M before the cut
$14.99
18k reviews
Mostly Positive
AER Memories of Old
2017
Est. copies
≈ 265k–431k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before the cut
$14.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureExploration

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