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How big is The Final Exam?

Estimated owners
≈ 13k–21k
from 528 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Final Exam out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Final Exam's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 14.2M–45.9M
best case 813.7M (Counter-Strike 2)
Games like The Final Exam

The middle of these games

≈ 14.2M–45.9M copies

≈ $186.3M–$216.6M after Steam's cut

from ~296k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Shooter (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Counter-Strike 2 at ≈ 620.0M–1007.5M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Shooter (4 of 8) and FPS (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter. The breakout hits carry Competitive + Action + Team-Based; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2012 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
2015
Est. copies
≈ 75.3M–122.4M
5.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
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Free
Free
1.5M reviews
Very Positive
FPSPvP
Cities: Skylines
2015
Est. copies
≈ 14.2M–23.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$117.4M–$315.8M after Steam's cut $213.5M–$485.8M before the cut
$29.99
292k reviews
Very Positive
Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord
2022
Est. copies
≈ 7.3M–11.9M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$101.0M–$271.6M after Steam's cut $183.7M–$417.9M before the cut
$49.99
296k reviews
Very Positive
MedievalStrategy
Arma 3
2013
Est. copies
≈ 18.6M–30.3M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$153.8M–$413.4M after Steam's cut $279.6M–$636.0M before the cut
$29.99
295k reviews
Very Positive
MilitaryAction
Counter-Strike 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 620.0M–1007.5M
33x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9.8M reviews
Very Positive
FPSShooter
War Thunder
2013
Est. copies
≈ 49.3M–80.1M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
780k reviews
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Free to PlaySimulation
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.7M–33.6M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut $206.9M–$470.7M before the cut
$19.99
681k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Squad
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.0M–9.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$66.2M–$178.0M after Steam's cut $120.4M–$273.9M before the cut
$39.99
243k reviews
Very Positive
MilitaryRealistic

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.