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How many copies did Phantom Breaker: Battle Grounds Classic sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 149k–242k
$613k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before the cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Phantom Breaker: Battle Grounds Classic out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Phantom Breaker: Battle Grounds Classic's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.2M–8.1M
best case 40.4M (Wallpaper Engine)
Games like Phantom Breaker: Battle Grounds Classic

The middle of these games

≈ 4.2M–8.1M copies

≈ $9.6M–$91.4M after Steam's cut

from ~146k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 30.8M–50.0M copies, ≈ $42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Female Protagonist (6 of 8) and Anime (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Utilities + Software + Design & Illustration; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.5M–$65.8M after Steam's cut $44.5M–$101.2M before the cut
$19.99
146k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30.8M–50.0M
6.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before the cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Mirror
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before the cut
$1.99
84k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
NARAKA: BLADEPOINT
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.2M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
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302k reviews
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Battle RoyaleMultiplayer
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.1M–11.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$87.4M–$235.0M after Steam's cut $158.9M–$361.6M before the cut
$44.99
205k reviews
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Tactical RPGRPG
GRIS
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.4M after Steam's cut $21.9M–$49.9M before the cut
$14.99
96k reviews
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BeautifulAtmospheric
Muse Dash
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before the cut
$2.99
122k reviews
Very Positive
MusicRhythm
NieR:Automata™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$57.9M–$155.7M after Steam's cut $105.3M–$239.5M before the cut
$39.99
153k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich

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