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How many copies did Winged Sakura: Mindy's Arc sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 10k–17k
$29k–$77k after Steam's cut $52k–$119k before the cut
from 187 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Winged Sakura: Mindy's Arc out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Winged Sakura: Mindy's Arc's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 10k–44k
best case 104k (Marfusha:Sentinel Girls )
Games like Winged Sakura: Mindy's Arc

The middle of these games

≈ 10k–44k copies

≈ $61k–$257k after Steam's cut

from ~719 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

4 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Marfusha:Sentinel Girls at ≈ 79k–129k copies, ≈ $175k–$469k after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 400 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 17 to 820.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Tower Defense (6 of 8) and Female Protagonist (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Anime + Action Roguelike, priced around $8.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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