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How big is Dragonflight?

Estimated owners
≈ 5k–7k
from 134 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Dragonflight out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dragonflight's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 33–832
best case 11k (SACRALITH : The Archer`s Tale)
Games like Dragonflight

The middle of these games

≈ 33–832 copies

≈ $370–$3k after Steam's cut

from ~9 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

None of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: SACRALITH : The Archer`s Tale at ≈ 8k–13k copies, ≈ $44k–$119k after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 3 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1 to 20.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Simulation (7 of 8) and VR (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Simulation, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Fun Christmas Santa VR
2020
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$409–$1k after Steam's cut $744–$2k before the cut
$9.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
AdventureSimulation
Dragon Rider
2015
Est. copies
≈ 0
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
0 reviews
No user reviews
ActionEarly Access
SACRALITH : The Archer`s Tale
2018
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
31x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$44k–$119k after Steam's cut $80k–$182k before the cut
$19.99
264 reviews
Very Positive
VRAction
Beast Pets
2019
Est. copies
≈ 605–983
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before the cut
$9.99
21 reviews
Positive
CasualSimulation
No King No Kingdom VR
2020
Est. copies
≈ 719–1k
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before the cut
$9.99
29 reviews
Mixed
ActionStrategy
Mythlands: Dragon Flight VR
2022
Est. copies
≈ 273–443
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$300–$804 after Steam's cut $545–$1k before the cut
$3.99
11 reviews
Positive
SimulationDragons
Xpraize Beta
2022
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$103–$273 after Steam's cut $187–$420 before the cut
$14.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
RPGVR
Komodo 3K Arena
2023
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$48–$127 after Steam's cut $87–$196 before the cut
$6.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
ActionSimulation

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