How much revenue did Expand make?

$35k–$94k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Expand sell?

Q: How many copies did Expand sell?

21k to 34k copies, based on its 435 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 21k–34k; $35k–$94k after Steam's cut $64k–$145k before the cut; from 435 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Expand out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Expand's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 74k–746k

best case 4.1M (INSIDE)

Games like Expand

The middle of these games

≈ 74k–746k copies

≈ $486k–$4.6M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Story Rich (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: INSIDE at ≈ 3.1M–5.1M copies, ≈ $21.6M–$58.2M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 309 to 15k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Story Rich (3 of 8) and Cinematic (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with 2.5D + Puzzle-Platformer, priced around $25.
The era: The games you compared span 2016 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Will Glow the Wisp 2017	Est. copies ≈ 57k–93k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $31k–$84k after Steam's cut $57k–$129k before the cut	$1.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Side ScrollerBullet Hell
Kingdom: New Lands 2016	Est. copies ≈ 514k–834k 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.8M–$8.8M before the cut	$14.99	12k reviews Very Positive	Tower Defense Survival
Train Valley 2 2019	Est. copies ≈ 91k–148k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $375k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $681k–$1.5M before the cut	$14.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Quick-Time EventsMultiple Endings
OPUS: Echo of Starsong - Full Bloom Edition 2021	Est. copies ≈ 234k–381k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.7M before the cut	$24.99	9k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelEmotional
INSIDE 2016	Est. copies ≈ 3.1M–5.1M 12x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.6M–$58.2M after Steam's cut $39.4M–$89.5M before the cut	$24.99	76k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	2.5DPuzzle-Platformer
Dorfromantik 2022	Est. copies ≈ 733k–1.2M 4.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before the cut	$13.99	30k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzleRelaxing
Lofi Ping Pong 2019	Est. copies ≈ 54k–87k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	2k reviews Very Positive	MusicRhythm
South of the Circle 2022	Est. copies ≈ 43k–70k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $153k–$411k after Steam's cut $278k–$632k before the cut	$12.99	2k reviews Very Positive	AdventureInteractive Fiction