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How many copies did EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 4.1 The Shadow of New Despair sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 438k–712k
$2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.0M before the cut
from 11k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 4.1 The Shadow of New Despair out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 4.1 The Shadow of New Despair's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 430k–1.6M
best case 3.2M (STAR WARS™ Battlefront™ II)
Games like EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 4.1 The Shadow of New Despair

The middle of these games

≈ 430k–1.6M copies

≈ $5.5M–$30.0M after Steam's cut

from ~18k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: STAR WARS™ Battlefront™ II at ≈ 2.5M–4.0M copies, ≈ $27.2M–$73.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Third-Person Shooter (8 of 8) and Co-op (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Shooter + Third-Person Shooter, priced around $40.
The era
The games you compared span 2011 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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STAR WARS™ Battlefront™ II
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