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How many copies did Runner3 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9k–15k
$50k–$135k after Steam's cut $91k–$207k before the cut
from 300 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Runner3 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Runner3's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 166k–259k
best case 262k (Melody's Escape)
Games like Runner3

The middle of these games

≈ 166k–259k copies

≈ $654k–$1.2M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

3 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Melody's Escape at ≈ 200k–325k copies, ≈ $549k–$1.5M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 40 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2 to 2k.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Music (7 of 8) and Rhythm (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Music-Based Procedural Generation + Rhythm, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2026, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hextech Mayhem: A League of Legends Story™
2021
Est. copies
≈ 58k–95k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$160k–$430k after Steam's cut $291k–$662k before the cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
MusicRhythm
BIT.TRIP Presents... Runner2: Future Legend of Rhythm Alien
2013
Est. copies
≈ 194k–316k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$802k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.3M before the cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Melody's Escape
2016
Est. copies
≈ 200k–325k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$549k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $998k–$2.3M before the cut
$9.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Music-Based Procedural GenerationRhythm
Nebula Flow
2025
Est. copies
≈ 967–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$20k before the cut
$17.99
39 reviews
Positive
IndieRhythm
Melody's Escape 2
2026
Est. copies
≈ 8k–14k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$35k–$93k after Steam's cut $63k–$144k before the cut
$14.99
340 reviews
Very Positive
Music-Based Procedural GenerationRhythm
Rhythm Journey
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before the cut
$5.99
113 reviews
Very Positive
IndieRhythm
JoJo Siwa: Worldwide Party
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
85 reviews
Mixed
CasualRunner
Lost in Harmony
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $6k–$15k before the cut
$6.99
61 reviews
Very Positive
IndieCasual

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