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How many copies did Thief: Deadly Shadows sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 165k–267k
$407k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $740k–$1.7M before the cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Thief: Deadly Shadows out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Thief: Deadly Shadows's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 10.3M–18.2M
best case 55.9M (PAYDAY 2)
Games like Thief: Deadly Shadows

The middle of these games

≈ 10.3M–18.2M copies

≈ $63.1M–$117.9M after Steam's cut

from ~227k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: PAYDAY 2 at ≈ 42.6M–69.2M copies, ≈ $117.1M–$314.7M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 67k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 14k to 153k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on First-Person (6 of 8) and Co-op (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + FPS, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2012 to 2025, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dying Light
2015
Est. copies
≈ 24.1M–39.2M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$165.8M–$445.8M after Steam's cut $301.5M–$685.8M before the cut
$24.99
494k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesSurvival Horror
R.E.P.O.
2025
Est. copies
≈ 10.4M–17.0M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$28.7M–$77.0M after Steam's cut $52.1M–$118.5M before the cut
$9.99
421k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Metro 2033 Redux
2014
Est. copies
≈ 7.9M–12.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$43.3M–$116.4M after Steam's cut $78.7M–$179.1M before the cut
$19.99
141k reviews
Very Positive
Post-apocalypticFPS
Metro Exodus
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.7M–$74.4M after Steam's cut $50.3M–$114.5M before the cut
$29.99
135k reviews
Very Positive
Post-apocalypticFPS
Outlast
2013
Est. copies
≈ 8.7M–14.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$36.0M–$96.9M after Steam's cut $65.5M–$149.1M before the cut
$14.99
138k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorFirst-Person
PAYDAY 2
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.6M–69.2M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$117.1M–$314.7M after Steam's cut $212.8M–$484.2M before the cut
$9.99
674k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opAction
Schedule I
2025
Est. copies
≈ 7.8M–12.7M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$42.9M–$115.2M after Steam's cut $77.9M–$177.3M before the cut
$19.99
314k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Far Cry 3
2012
Est. copies
≈ 8.4M–13.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.2M–$124.3M after Steam's cut $84.1M–$191.2M before the cut
$19.99
133k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldFPS

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