wishvane
How many copies did Thief Simulator sell?
Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
$6.6M–$17.7M net $12.0M–$27.2M gross
from 39k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Thief Simulator out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Thief Simulator's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.0M–5.5M
best case 45.9M (PAYDAY 2)
The Action lane

A big, proven genre, though hit-driven: most sell around 4.1M copies, while a few break out far above.

A typical game
≈ 4.1M copies
≈ $25.1M after Steam's cut
from ~62k reviews
Best case
≈ 45.9M copies
PAYDAY 2 · ≈ $177.4M after Steam's cut
from 673k reviews
A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

6 of your 8 games sit in the typical range; 2 are breakout hits far above it.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count; typical figures are medians per column, so they can come from different games.

The lane you'd be entering
  • Winners here lead with FPS + Multiplayer, priced around $15.
  • The breakout hits carry FPS + Multiplayer + Stealth; a typical game here doesn't.
  • The games you compared span 2011 to 2017, a lane with a long track record.
  • A typical game here lands in Diamond ($1M+ before Steam's cut, est.). Tiers: Chris Zukowski's benchmark tiers.

Similar games

2013
Est. copies
≈ 35.0M–56.9M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$96.2M–$258.6M net $174.9M–$397.8M gross
$9.99
673k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opAction +6
2017
Est. copies
≈ 6.9M–11.2M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$37.8M–$101.6M net $68.7M–$156.4M gross
$19.99
200k reviews
Very Positive
HuntingOpen World +6
2014
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.2M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.8M–$74.7M net $50.5M–$115.0M gross
$19.99
97k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalWar +6
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$36.1M–$97.1M net $65.6M–$149.3M gross
$29.99
84k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldParkour +6
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.8M–$34.3M net $23.2M–$52.7M gross
$24.99
54k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultAtmospheric +6
2014
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.0M–$26.9M net $18.2M–$41.4M gross
$9.99
70k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFunny +6
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.8M–$15.7M net $10.6M–$24.2M gross
$9.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
FPSAction +6
2014
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$14.5M–$39.0M net $26.4M–$60.0M gross
$19.99
51k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldHacking +6

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