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wishvane

How many copies did ELDERBORN sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 77k–124k
$315k–$848k after Steam's cut $573k–$1.3M before the cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left ELDERBORN out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ELDERBORN's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 170k–571k
best case 1.5M (Lords Of The Fallen™ 2014)
Games like ELDERBORN

The middle of these games

≈ 170k–571k copies

≈ $1.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

5 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Lords Of The Fallen™ 2014 at ≈ 1.2M–1.9M copies, ≈ $9.6M–$25.8M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 84 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Action RPG (5 of 8) and Dark Fantasy (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Souls-like + Dark Fantasy, priced around $30.
The era
4 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this niche is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Early AccessAction

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