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How many copies did The Crooked Man sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 38k–62k
$32k–$85k after Steam's cut $57k–$130k before the cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Crooked Man out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Crooked Man's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.6M–4.9M
best case 56.5M (Stardew Valley)
Games like The Crooked Man

The middle of these games

≈ 4.6M–4.9M copies

≈ $16.0M–$33.7M after Steam's cut

from ~122k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Your picks lean toward this genre's biggest survivors; the typical figure reads from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Horror (2 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Stardew Valley at ≈ 43.0M–69.9M copies, ≈ $177.4M–$476.9M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Horror (2 of 8) and Music (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sandbox + Gore, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

People Playground
2019
Est. copies
≈ 9.1M–14.9M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$25.1M–$67.5M after Steam's cut $45.7M–$103.9M before the cut
$9.99
317k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxGore
MiSide
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$14.5M–$39.0M after Steam's cut $26.3M–$59.9M before the cut
$14.99
142k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Stardew Valley
2016
Est. copies
≈ 43.0M–69.9M
8.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$177.4M–$476.9M after Steam's cut $322.5M–$733.6M before the cut
$14.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Farming SimPixel Graphics
Little Nightmares
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.0M–$59.2M after Steam's cut $40.1M–$91.1M before the cut
$19.99
117k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAtmospheric
Bloons TD 6
2018
Est. copies
≈ 12.0M–19.5M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.1M–$124.0M after Steam's cut $83.8M–$190.7M before the cut
$13.99
394k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy
Geometry Dash
2014
Est. copies
≈ 35.7M–58.0M
5.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$49.0M–$131.7M after Steam's cut $89.1M–$202.7M before the cut
$4.99
638k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultMusic
Undertale
2015
Est. copies
≈ 16.5M–26.8M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$45.3M–$121.9M after Steam's cut $82.4M–$187.6M before the cut
$9.99
338k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich
Muse Dash
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before the cut
$2.99
122k reviews
Very Positive
MusicRhythm

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