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How many copies did Keplerth sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 103k–168k
$425k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $773k–$1.8M before the cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Keplerth out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Keplerth's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 33k–252k
best case 421k (ATOM RPG: Post-apocalyptic indie game)
Games like Keplerth

The middle of these games

≈ 33k–252k copies

≈ $59k–$1.4M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

6 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: ATOM RPG: Post-apocalyptic indie game at ≈ 320k–521k copies, ≈ $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 762 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 167 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Exploration (8 of 8) and Sandbox (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with CRPG + Exploration, priced around $15.
The era
The games you compared span 2017 to 2025, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Open WorldSurvival
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5.2x vs typical
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