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How many copies did Perfect Heist sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 16k–26k
$22k–$58k after Steam's cut $39k–$90k before the cut
from 520 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Perfect Heist out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Perfect Heist's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–5.6M
best case 55.9M (PAYDAY 2)
Games like Perfect Heist

The middle of these games

≈ 1.5M–5.6M copies

≈ $11.3M–$71.1M after Steam's cut

from ~50k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: PAYDAY 2 at ≈ 42.6M–69.2M copies, ≈ $117.1M–$314.7M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on FPS (8 of 8) and Shooter (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + FPS, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2011 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DOOM
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$50.6M–$136.0M after Steam's cut $92.0M–$209.3M before the cut
$19.99
221k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSGore
PAYDAY 2
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.6M–69.2M
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$117.1M–$314.7M after Steam's cut $212.8M–$484.2M before the cut
$9.99
674k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opAction
One-armed robber
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
53k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
Call of Duty®: WWII
2017
Est. copies
≈ 314k–511k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.2M–$13.9M after Steam's cut $9.4M–$21.5M before the cut
$59.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
World War IIFPS
Call of Duty®: WWII
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$26.5M–$71.2M after Steam's cut $48.1M–$109.5M before the cut
$59.99
47k reviews
Mostly Positive
World War IIFPS
Sniper Ghost Warrior 3
2017
Est. copies
≈ 675k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$10.0M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.4M before the cut
$19.99
20k reviews
Mixed
SniperOpen World
PAYDAY 3
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.4M–$35.9M after Steam's cut $24.3M–$55.2M before the cut
$29.99
65k reviews
Mixed
HeistCo-op
PAYDAY™ The Heist
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$7.1M–$19.1M after Steam's cut $12.9M–$29.4M before the cut
$9.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
FPSAction

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