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wishvane

How big is One-armed robber?

Estimated owners
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
from 53k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left One-armed robber out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including One-armed robber's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 81k–2.0M
best case 55.9M (PAYDAY 2)
Games like One-armed robber

The middle of these games

≈ 81k–2.0M copies

≈ $585k–$12.4M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: PAYDAY 2 at ≈ 42.6M–69.2M copies, ≈ $117.1M–$314.7M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 417 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Crime (7 of 8) and Heist (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + FPS, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2011 to 2025, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Thief Simulator
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.6M–$17.8M after Steam's cut $12.0M–$27.4M before the cut
$19.99
40k reviews
Very Positive
Crime Simulator: Playgrounds
2024
Est. copies
≈ 54k–87k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$29k–$79k after Steam's cut $53k–$121k before the cut
$1.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionMultiplayer
Drug Dealer Simulator
2020
Est. copies
≈ 521k–847k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.7M after Steam's cut $5.2M–$11.9M before the cut
$19.99
21k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationCrime
PAYDAY 2
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.6M–69.2M
49x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$117.1M–$314.7M after Steam's cut $212.8M–$484.2M before the cut
$9.99
674k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opAction
Thief Simulator VR
2020
Est. copies
≈ 36k–59k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$200k–$538k after Steam's cut $364k–$828k before the cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Mixed
The Break-In
2025
Est. copies
≈ 65k–105k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$356k–$957k after Steam's cut $647k–$1.5M before the cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
VRMultiplayer
PAYDAY™ The Heist
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$7.1M–$19.1M after Steam's cut $12.9M–$29.4M before the cut
$9.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
FPSAction
Thief Simulator 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 167k–271k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$915k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before the cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Very Positive

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