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How many copies did Star Valor sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 85k–138k
$584k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before the cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Star Valor out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Star Valor's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.7M–10.8M
best case 22.6M (No Man's Sky)
Games like Star Valor

The middle of these games

≈ 6.7M–10.8M copies

≈ $60.9M–$207.7M after Steam's cut

from ~146k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

5 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: No Man's Sky at ≈ 17.2M–28.0M copies, ≈ $284.5M–$764.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Sandbox (5 of 8) and Space (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Open World Survival Craft, priced around $60.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2024, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Kerbal Space Program
2015
Est. copies
≈ 7.1M–11.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$78.6M–$211.3M after Steam's cut $142.9M–$325.1M before the cut
$39.99
146k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SpaceSimulation
No Man's Sky
2016
Est. copies
≈ 17.2M–28.0M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$284.5M–$764.9M after Steam's cut $517.2M–$1176.7M before the cut
$59.99
415k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
Space Bob vs. The Replicons
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$12k–$33k after Steam's cut $22k–$51k before the cut
$14.99
98 reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World
Starbound
2016
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.1M–$56.8M after Steam's cut $38.4M–$87.4M before the cut
$14.99
123k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSandbox
ASTRONEER
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$33.0M–$88.8M after Steam's cut $60.1M–$136.6M before the cut
$29.99
139k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerOpen World
Stellaris
2016
Est. copies
≈ 8.2M–13.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$112.6M–$302.8M after Steam's cut $204.7M–$465.8M before the cut
$49.99
197k reviews
Very Positive
Starground
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$18k–$49k after Steam's cut $33k–$75k before the cut
$13.99
191 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessMining
Planet Miners
2024
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$491–$1k after Steam's cut $893–$2k before the cut
$11.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
MiningSandbox

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