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How many copies did DOOM 3 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 532k–864k
from 8k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left DOOM 3 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including DOOM 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.8M–11.6M
best case 23.1M (Half-Life 2)
Games like DOOM 3

The middle of these games

≈ 4.8M–11.6M copies

≈ $56.3M–$84.2M after Steam's cut

from ~141k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Half-Life 2 at ≈ 17.6M–28.6M copies, ≈ $48.3M–$130.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on First-Person (8 of 8) and FPS (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Sci-fi, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2004 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Half-Life: Alyx
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$43.0M–$115.5M after Steam's cut $78.1M–$177.7M before the cut
$59.99
105k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRFPS
Metro: Last Light Redux
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.6M–7.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.0M–$67.3M after Steam's cut $45.5M–$103.5M before the cut
$19.99
81k reviews
Very Positive
Post-apocalypticFPS
Outlast
2013
Est. copies
≈ 8.7M–14.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$36.0M–$96.9M after Steam's cut $65.5M–$149.1M before the cut
$14.99
138k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorFirst-Person
Half-Life 2
2004
Est. copies
≈ 17.6M–28.6M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$48.3M–$130.0M after Steam's cut $87.9M–$200.0M before the cut
$9.99
278k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSAction
Black Mesa
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$19.7M–$53.0M after Steam's cut $35.8M–$81.5M before the cut
$19.99
145k reviews
Very Positive
FPSRemake
SCP: Secret Laboratory
2017
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–13.1M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
234k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
DOOM
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$50.6M–$136.0M after Steam's cut $92.0M–$209.3M before the cut
$19.99
221k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSGore
Alien: Isolation
2014
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$41.0M–$110.1M after Steam's cut $74.5M–$169.4M before the cut
$39.99
66k reviews
Very Positive

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