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How many copies did Saturnalia sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$27k–$71k after Steam's cut $48k–$110k before the cut
from 130 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Saturnalia out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Saturnalia's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.4M–13.2M
best case 16.6M (Lethal Company)
Games like Saturnalia

The middle of these games

≈ 7.4M–13.2M copies

≈ $115.5M–$172.7M after Steam's cut

from ~269k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Lethal Company at ≈ 12.7M–20.6M copies, ≈ $34.8M–$93.5M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 72k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 16k to 178k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (5 of 8) and Co-op (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + First-Person, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Lethal Company
2023
Est. copies
≈ 12.7M–20.6M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.8M–$93.5M after Steam's cut $63.2M–$143.9M before the cut
$9.99
511k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Online Co-OpHorror
Tomb Raider Game of the Year
2013
Est. copies
≈ 17.0M–27.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$93.5M–$251.3M after Steam's cut $169.9M–$386.6M before the cut
$19.99
269k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureAction
It Takes Two
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6.7M–10.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$73.2M–$196.7M after Steam's cut $133.0M–$302.7M before the cut
$39.99
268k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Co-opMultiplayer
Assassin's Creed® Odyssey
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$94.2M–$253.2M after Steam's cut $171.3M–$389.6M before the cut
$59.99
188k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG
Hogwarts Legacy
2023
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$152.1M–$408.9M after Steam's cut $276.5M–$629.1M before the cut
$59.99
372k reviews
Very Positive
MagicOpen World
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$55.4M–$149.0M after Steam's cut $100.7M–$229.2M before the cut
$39.99
175k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureSouls-like
Sons Of The Forest
2024
Est. copies
≈ 7.9M–12.8M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$65.0M–$174.9M after Steam's cut $118.2M–$269.0M before the cut
$29.99
318k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$89.6M–$240.8M after Steam's cut $162.8M–$370.5M before the cut
$59.99
219k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldCo-op

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