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How many copies did Far Cry® New Dawn sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
$11.1M–$29.8M after Steam's cut $20.2M–$45.9M before the cut
from 35k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Far Cry® New Dawn out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Far Cry® New Dawn's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 12.2M–25.2M
best case 55.6M (Rust)
Games like Far Cry® New Dawn

The middle of these games

≈ 12.2M–25.2M copies

≈ $141.1M–$314.5M after Steam's cut

from ~343k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Rust at ≈ 42.4M–68.9M copies, ≈ $466.2M–$1253.5M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 153k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 19k to 182k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Co-op (6 of 8) and Open World (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Crafting, priced around $40.
The era
The games you compared span 2012 to 2025, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Call of Duty®: Black Ops III
2015
Est. copies
≈ 11.4M–18.4M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$187.3M–$503.5M after Steam's cut $340.5M–$774.7M before the cut
$59.99
233k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerZombies
Arma 3
2013
Est. copies
≈ 18.6M–30.3M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$153.8M–$413.4M after Steam's cut $279.6M–$636.0M before the cut
$29.99
295k reviews
Very Positive
MilitaryAction
Schedule I
2025
Est. copies
≈ 7.8M–12.7M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$42.9M–$115.2M after Steam's cut $77.9M–$177.3M before the cut
$19.99
314k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rust
2018
Est. copies
≈ 42.4M–68.9M
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$466.2M–$1253.5M after Steam's cut $847.6M–$1928.4M before the cut
$39.99
1.4M reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalCrafting
Sea of Thieves: 2026 Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$101.6M–$273.1M after Steam's cut $184.7M–$420.1M before the cut
$39.99
372k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerOpen World
Borderlands 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 19.7M–32.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$108.4M–$291.6M after Steam's cut $197.2M–$448.6M before the cut
$19.99
312k reviews
Very Positive
LootShooter
Destiny 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 19.0M–30.9M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
661k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayOpen World
Raft
2022
Est. copies
≈ 9.4M–15.2M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$51.5M–$138.4M after Steam's cut $93.6M–$213.0M before the cut
$19.99
378k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalMultiplayer

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