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wishvane

How big is Waves?

Estimated owners
≈ 99k–161k
from 2k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Waves out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Waves's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 594k–1.8M
best case 4.9M (Enter the Gungeon)
Games like Waves

The middle of these games

≈ 594k–1.8M copies

≈ $2.2M–$7.1M after Steam's cut

from ~23k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Enter the Gungeon at ≈ 3.7M–6.1M copies, ≈ $15.4M–$41.4M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 21k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 7k to 23k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Action Roguelike (7 of 8) and Bullet Hell (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Bullet Hell + Action Roguelike, priced around $15.
The era
The games you compared span 2010 to 2025, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

20 Minutes Till Dawn
2023
Est. copies
≈ 720k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$989k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before the cut
$4.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Enter the Gungeon
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
3.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.4M after Steam's cut $28.0M–$63.6M before the cut
$14.99
90k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellAction Roguelike
Hero Siege
2014
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.3M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.8M–$15.7M after Steam's cut $10.6M–$24.1M before the cut
$7.99
47k reviews
Mixed
Action RPGPixel Graphics
Soulstone Survivors
2025
Est. copies
≈ 663k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.3M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.3M before the cut
$14.99
27k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Beat Hazard
2010
Est. copies
≈ 471k–765k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.3M before the cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmMusic-Based Procedural Generation
Nuclear Throne
2015
Est. copies
≈ 965k–1.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before the cut
$11.99
20k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
SYNTHETIK: Legion Rising
2018
Est. copies
≈ 398k–647k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.1M before the cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Top-Down ShooterRogue-lite
Rogue: Genesia
2025
Est. copies
≈ 212k–344k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$874k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before the cut
$14.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell

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