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How many copies did Smelter sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–9k
$29k–$78k after Steam's cut $53k–$120k before the cut
from 213 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Smelter out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Smelter's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 27k–120k
best case 2.6M (Rain World)
Games like Smelter

The middle of these games

≈ 27k–120k copies

≈ $152k–$272k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

5 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Rain World at ≈ 1.9M–3.2M copies, ≈ $13.4M–$36.0M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 312 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 192 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on 2D Platformer (5 of 8) and Platformer (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Exploration, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Atmospheric + Survival + Pixel Graphics; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Rain World
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.2M
53x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.4M–$36.0M after Steam's cut $24.3M–$55.4M before the cut
$24.99
57k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultAtmospheric
Left on Read
2020
Est. copies
≈ 130k–211k
4.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayRomance
F.I.S.T.: Forged In Shadow Torch
2021
Est. copies
≈ 179k–291k
6.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$787k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before the cut
$15.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
JellyCar Worlds
2022
Est. copies
≈ 27k–43k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$58k–$157k after Steam's cut $106k–$242k before the cut
$7.99
1k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Racing2D Platformer
Stilt Fella
2020
Est. copies
≈ 22k–36k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$78k–$210k after Steam's cut $142k–$323k before the cut
$12.99
882 reviews
Very Positive
PhysicsDifficult
BIOMORPH
2024
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$95k–$255k after Steam's cut $172k–$392k before the cut
$19.99
695 reviews
Very Positive
Mosa Lina
2023
Est. copies
≈ 53k–85k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$116k–$311k after Steam's cut $210k–$478k before the cut
$7.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Co-opMultiplayer
Actraiser Renaissance
2021
Est. copies
≈ 19k–31k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$158k–$426k after Steam's cut $288k–$655k before the cut
$29.99
774 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionAction RPG

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